Drill Poker
Preflop

Push/Fold: Where to Start

Why short-stack push/fold strategy matters: the fold-equity math without the jargon, range edges, typical mistakes and a two-week training plan.

In every tournament there comes a moment when poker stops being a game of flops, reads and thin value bets. Your stack has shrunk to a dozen blinds — and you have two actions left: all-in or fold. This is the push/fold zone, the most thoroughly solved part of poker: for every hand, position and stack, the mathematically correct answer is known. The player who has learned those answers takes chips from the one playing "by feel" — steadily, and with no magic involved.

The good news: this is the fastest way to improve tournament results. Postflop takes years to learn; push/fold takes a couple of weeks.

Why push/fold works

A shove draws its power from two sources, and winning either one is enough.

Fold equity. When you move all-in, opponents fold most of their hands: there is no "seeing a cheap flop" against a shove. Every such fold hands you the blinds and antes in full — dead money nobody fought for.

Showdown equity. Even when the shove gets called, your hand wins its share of pots. Shoving A5s into a calling range isn't a disaster — it's roughly 40% equity, on top of all the times the call never came.

Add the two together and it turns out a short stack profitably shoves far more hands than intuition suggests. From the small blind at 10 BB, the correct shove is more than half of all possible hands.

Now compare the alternatives. Limping at 8 BB puts no pressure on anyone and leaves you with no plan against a raise. A min-raise commits a quarter of your stack in a way that makes folding afterwards a mistake — yet generates half the fold equity of a shove. Both lines lose to shoving almost always, and that is exactly why a short stack is played with two buttons.

The edge of the range is where the money is

Push/fold mistakes don't live in the middle of the range — they live at the edge. Everyone shoves AK. Chips are lost on hands like A4o, K9s and 66: they get folded where they should be shoved — and the stack burns away in the blinds — or shoved where they should be folded, and the tournament ends.

A♥♥8♠♠
A8o on the button, 10 BB stack

At 10 BB on the button, A8o is a confident shove: only two players remain behind you, and most of their hands cannot call.

Push from BTN, 10 BB stack

AA
AKs
AQs
AJs
ATs
A9s
A8s
A7s
A6s
A5s
A4s
A3s
A2s
AKo
KK
KQs
KJs
KTs
K9s
K8s
K7s
K6s
K5s
K4s
K3s
K2s
AQo
KQo
QQ
QJs
QTs
Q9s
Q8s
Q7s
Q6s
Q5s
Q4s
Q3s
Q2s
AJo
KJo
QJo
JJ
JTs
J9s
J8s
J7s
J6s
J5s
J4s
J3s
J2s
ATo
KTo
QTo
JTo
TT
T9s
T8s
T7s
T6s
T5s
T4s
T3s
T2s
A9o
K9o
Q9o
J9o
T9o
99
98s
97s
96s
95s
94s
93s
92s
A8o
K8o
Q8o
J8o
T8o
98o
88
87s
86s
85s
84s
83s
82s
A7o
K7o
Q7o
J7o
T7o
97o
87o
77
76s
75s
74s
73s
72s
A6o
K6o
Q6o
J6o
T6o
96o
86o
76o
66
65s
64s
63s
62s
A5o
K5o
Q5o
J5o
T5o
95o
85o
75o
65o
55
54s
53s
52s
A4o
K4o
Q4o
J4o
T4o
94o
84o
74o
64o
54o
44
43s
42s
A3o
K3o
Q3o
J3o
T3o
93o
83o
73o
63o
53o
43o
33
32s
A2o
K2o
Q2o
J2o
T2o
92o
82o
72o
62o
52o
42o
32o
22
PushFold
Button shoving range at 10 BB (teaching approximation)

The same hand from early position is a fold: seven opponents behind you means too high a chance of meeting a dominating ace. Position changes the decision more than the hand itself does — that is the main reflex you'll be building.

How to train it

Knowing the chart and playing by the chart are different skills: at the table you get seconds. A scheme that builds the reflex in two weeks:

  1. Ten minutes a day in the trainer — random hand, position and stack, answer "push" or "fold", instant checking against the Nash range.
  2. Start at 8–12 BB — the most common zone in real tournaments. Then add 5–8 BB, and leave 15–20 BB for last.
  3. Review mistakes on the 13×13 grid. After every miss, look beyond your own hand at the boundary: which neighbouring hands are still shoves, which no longer are.
  4. Target 90% accuracy with a streak of 30+. That's the sign you know the range instead of guessing it.

Once the base is in place, add the layers on top: calling against someone else's shove is a separate, tighter skill, and adjusting for the tournament stage is the subject of ICM.

Questions & answers

At what stack depth does the push/fold zone begin?

Usually at 10–15 big blinds: raise-folding stops being profitable and the decision becomes "all-in or fold". At 15 BB some hands still open with a raise; at 10 BB and below the shove is almost always best.

Why can't I just wait for a strong hand?

Blinds and antes eat a short stack faster than premium hands arrive. Pocket aces come once every 221 hands; with an 8 BB stack you have one or two orbits left. Waiting isn't caution — it's losing slowly through the bets you are forced to pay.

Why is a trainer better than memorising tables?

A trainer gives instant feedback on concrete hands, so range boundaries stick faster than by reading charts. With a table you have minutes; at the table you have seconds.

Do these ranges work in real tournaments, not just in theory?

Yes — Nash ranges by construction cannot lose in the long run no matter how opponents respond. Against specific players there are even more profitable deviations, but the baseline comes first: you can only deviate from something you know.

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